Parameters of a North Korea-USA war

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Status: Finished  |  Genre: War and Military  |  House: Booksie Classic


What will matter in the event of a North Korea-United States of America war?


The North Korea crisis begun in August 2017.It has slowly escalated into a full,two side political conflict.The result is a dynamic, ready to erupt situation.

The conflict has been fed by toxic statements of both sides.The leaders of both North Korea and the United States of America have repeatedly made threats of war, but it is the missile tests of nuclear bombs that have thrown oil into the fire, as these are not mere words but actions.As a result, there is no trust between the two countries and only China is trying to contain the crisis.

The possibility of a war between North Korea and USA cannot be excluded.The fact though that both countries possess nuclear weapons and USA is the leader of NATO alliance changes the parameters of a possible war.There has never been a nuclear war before.So we are not refering to a traditional ground or air force war, since the first way the war is going to be conducted is through missiles.And since to the exclusion of omission, we take seriously the threat of using nuclear weapons, the first phase of the war will probably be the most lethal and devastating.

Assuming North Korea is capable of a direct nuclear hit on the United States of America, it is clearly evident that nuclear weapons will be used only if North Korea attacks with them first, as USA strategy is negotiating a nuclear disarmament.In this case, the United States will be forced to respond, but unlike the North Korea hit, which will probably be small in number of missiles, the USA response hit will be massive.All sources of big and possible threats will be targeted, starting logically from the North Korean missile silos.The difference is that the USA is the first nuclear power, has used the atomic bomb in World War II and is a member of the United Nations (UN) security council.So the US is in a position to block possible negative votings or actions against them.Furthermore, USA is the leader of NATO alliance, which includes nuclear powers England and France.A fact that multiplies USA nuclear arsenal, as in the event of a war, NATO full military support will be requested.North Korea does not have any allies.As a matter of fact, Japan and South Korea, the two closest neighbors are clearly on the american side.Only China and in a lesser degree Russia, can help North Korea.But entering a world war for the sake of North Korea's leader, Kim Jong-Un, crazy actions is highly unlikely.That's why China and Russia are trying to find a diplomatic way out of the crisis.In the event of a war, decisions will be made based on interests and who made the first hit will definitely weigh on the decisions, as the attacker with nuclear missiles will be morally condemned forever.Since NATO will be involved in case of a war, North Korea cannot win, as she will have to conquer at leat half of NATO's 28 countries including the United States of America, before the rest submit.

In my opinion, in a war between North Korea and NATO, China and Russia will not interfere, if the attacker is North Korea, but will simply sit back and enjoy the damage done to the USA and NATO.

The deployment of ground army will be meaningless as the damage done to North Korea by nuclear hits will be so massive that they will be forced to negotiate the end of the war, if not surrender.In this case, nuclear disarmament will be the only choice for an ending of the war.In the event of a surrender it will be imposed.Engagement of air and naval forces however, is very highly likely.But the USA and NATO vastly outnumber North Korea's air and naval forces, so North Korea will sustain heavy casualties, even though due to the nuclear factor the confrontation will last weeks, if not days.

So, summarizing the parameters, we have the massive destruction, small time period due to the nuclear devastation, non-deployment of ground forces, top level of air and naval engagement, alliances, United Nations votings and/or actions and moral condemning of attacker by international common opinion .I find the latter very important, as it relates to the levels of flexibility North korea's policy makers will have, eprecially after the end of the war.It will be much like Germany after World War II.No trust forever.


Submitted: January 10, 2018

© Copyright 2021 Lazaros Tasioulas. All rights reserved.

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